The Forge Ore Chance Calculator
Calculate Mining Drop Rates with Probability Math
Know exactly how many mining attempts you need to find any ore in The Forge. Calculate probabilities for Galaxite, Arcane Crystal, Darkryte, and all 50+ ores with luck bonus support.
Probability Calculator
Select an ore from the list to calculate drop probabilities
About Luck Bonus
Luck from pickaxes and potions multiplicatively increases rare ore drop chances. Enter your total luck bonus (0-100%) to see adjusted probabilities.
The Forge Ore Chance Calculator: Complete Mining Guide 2026
Welcome to the most comprehensive Ore Chance Calculator for The Forge Roblox game. Our free tool uses mathematical probability formulas to calculate exactly how many mining attempts you need to find any ore - from the ultra-rare Galaxite (1/1,000,000) to common ores like Stone and Copper. Whether you're hunting for the legendary Arcane Crystal in Goblin Cave or farming Darkryte in Volcanic Depths, our calculator shows you the exact probability milestones and expected mining sessions needed. Stop guessing and start planning your mining strategy with confidence using real game data and proven probability mathematics!
What is the Ore Chance Calculator?
The Ore Chance Calculator is a free probability tool that helps you plan your mining strategy in The Forge. It calculates the probability of finding any ore based on your number of mining attempts and luck bonus. With over 50 ores across 5 mining locations, our database includes accurate drop rates verified by the community. Whether you're targeting Galaxite for its incredible 11.5x multiplier or Darkryte for its dodge trait, our calculator shows you exactly what to expect.
How Does The Calculator Work?
Select your target ore and enter how many times you plan to mine. The calculator uses geometric probability distribution - the mathematically correct model for independent random events - to determine your success probability. We also factor in luck bonuses from pickaxes and potions, which multiplicatively increase your chances of rare ore drops. View milestones at 50%, 90%, and 99% probability to plan your farming sessions effectively.
Complete Ore Rarity Guide: Drop Rates Explained
| Rarity | Drop Rate Range | Example Ores | Multiplier Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 1/1 - 1/31 | Stone, Copper, Iron | 0.2x - 0.7x |
| Uncommon | 1/7 - 1/73 | Tin, Silver, Titanium | 0.425x - 1.3x |
| Rare | 1/22 - 1/390 | Quartz, Diamond, Sapphire | 0.8x - 3.4x |
| Epic | 1/44 - 1/569 | Ruby, Rivalite, Frogite | 1.1x - 8.5x |
| Legendary | 1/777 - 1/5000 | Mythril, Magmaite, Rainbow Crystal | 3.0x - 9.5x |
| Mythical | 1/3,666 - 1/100,000 | Demonite, Darkryte, Arcane Crystal | 5.5x - 7.5x |
| Divine | 1/1,000,000 | Galaxite | 11.5x |
Mining Locations: Where to Find Every Ore
Stonewake's Cross
World 1 • Easy • Starter Pickaxe
Common ores for beginners. Stone, Copper, Iron, and the rare Poopite (1/131) can be found here. Galaxite can also drop from any rock.
Forgotten Kingdom
World 2 • Medium • Iron Pickaxe
Mid-tier ores including gemstones like Diamond, Sapphire, Ruby. Eye Ore (1/1,333) and other Legendary ores available.
Goblin Cave
World 2 • Medium • Iron Pickaxe
Crystal ores including the extremely rare Arcane Crystal (1/100,000). Rainbow Crystal has 1/5,000 odds. Frogite for mobility builds.
Frostspire Expanse
World 3 • Hard • Titanium Pickaxe
High-value ores including Moon Stone (1/2,000), Lightite (1/3,333), and exclusive ice ores. Uranium and Mythril also available.
Volcanic Depths
World 2 • Very Hard • Diamond Pickaxe
Home to the rarest Mythical ores: Demonite (1/3,666) and Darkryte (1/6,555). Also Fireite and Magmaite for fire builds.
All Locations
Divine Tier • 1/1,000,000
Galaxite can drop from any ore in any location. With its 11.5x multiplier, it's the ultimate prize for dedicated miners.
Pro Mining Strategies for The Forge
- 1.Maximize your luck bonus before farming rare ores. A +50% luck bonus effectively doubles your chances on every mining attempt, cutting your expected farming time in half.
- 2.For Legendary+ ores, commit to extended farming sessions. The probability milestones show that you often need hundreds or thousands of attempts. Use the 90% milestone as your target to avoid frustration.
- 3.Goblin Cave is the most efficient location for mid-to-high tier ores. Crystal Rocks drop Epic crystal ores at 1/255 odds, and you have a chance at the ultra-rare Arcane Crystal (1/100,000).
- 4.Volcanic Depths is the only source for Demonite and Darkryte - the most valuable Mythical ores with powerful traits. Despite their rarity, dedicated farming here yields the best endgame crafting materials.
- 5.Don't ignore Galaxite potential. With 1/1,000,000 odds from ANY ore, every mining session has a tiny chance at this Divine-tier jackpot. Track your total lifetime mines to appreciate the statistical journey.
Understanding Probability Math in Mining
The Forge uses independent random events for ore drops. Each mining attempt has the same probability of dropping a specific ore, regardless of previous attempts. This means 'bad luck' doesn't make you 'due' for a rare drop - but probability compounds over many attempts.
For example, with a 1/1000 drop rate over 1000 attempts, your chance of finding at least one is about 63.2%, not 100%. To reach 99% certainty, you need approximately 4,605 attempts. Our calculator handles all this math automatically, accounting for your luck bonus and showing key probability milestones.
Frequently Asked Questions About Ore Drop Rates
What is the rarest ore in The Forge Roblox?
Galaxite is the rarest ore with a 1/1,000,000 (0.0001%) drop rate. It can drop from any ore in any location and has an impressive 11.5x multiplier. On average, you would need 1,000,000 mining attempts to find one. For a 50% chance, you need approximately 693,147 attempts. The second rarest is Arcane Crystal at 1/100,000 from Goblin Cave.
How many attempts to find Arcane Crystal in The Forge?
Arcane Crystal has a 1/100,000 drop rate from Crystal Rocks in Goblin Cave. For a 50% chance: approximately 69,315 mining attempts. For 90% certainty: about 230,259 attempts. For 99% certainty: approximately 460,517 attempts. With maximum +100% luck bonus, these numbers are roughly halved.
What drop rate does Darkryte have?
Darkryte has a 1/6,555 drop rate from Volcanic Rock in the Volcanic Depths. It's a Mythical-tier ore with a 6.3x multiplier and a powerful trait: 15% chance to completely dodge incoming attacks. For a 50% chance of finding one, expect approximately 4,545 mining attempts.
How does luck affect ore drop rates in The Forge?
Luck from pickaxes and potions multiplicatively increases your base drop chance. With +50% luck, a 1/1000 drop rate becomes effectively 1/667. With +100% luck (maximum), a 1/1000 rate becomes 1/500. Our calculator supports luck bonuses from 0-100% for accurate probability calculations.
Where can I find Demonite in The Forge?
Demonite is found exclusively in the Volcanic Depths from Volcanic Rock with a 1/3,666 drop rate. It's a Mythical-tier ore with a 5.5x multiplier and a fire damage trait: 15% chance to deal 20% weapon damage as Burn over 2 seconds. You need a Diamond Pickaxe to mine here.
What are the best ores for weapon crafting?
For weapons, look for ores with damage-boosting traits: Rivalite (+20% crit chance), Fireite (20% burn damage), Magmaite (50% AOE explosion), Moon Stone (+25% night damage), and Demonite (burn DOT). Higher multiplier ores like Galaxite (11.5x) and Arcane Crystal (7.5x) also produce stronger weapons.
Is the Ore Chance Calculator accurate?
Yes! Our calculator uses real game data verified by the community and mathematical probability formulas. We use the geometric probability distribution formula: P = 1 - (1-dropRate)^attempts. Luck bonuses are applied multiplicatively as they work in-game. Drop rates are regularly verified against game updates.
What ores have special traits in The Forge?
Many ores provide unique traits when forged: Darkryte (15% dodge), Demonite (burn damage), Obsidian (+30% armor defense), Rivalite (+20% crit chance), Lightite (movement speed), Magmaite (50% AOE explosion), Fireite (20% burn), Moon Stone (+25% night damage), Frogite (+12.5% jump height), and Mosasaursit (+35% vitality, -25% speed).
The Forge Ore Chance Calculator is your essential companion for efficient mining in The Forge Roblox game. Calculate drop probabilities, plan farming sessions, and optimize your mining strategy with mathematical precision. Bookmark this page and use it every time you're ready to mine!